TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Dragon Ranger Gamingof All Gamers, Dragon Ranger Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,286 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2405…e055backed All Gamers32c501.39$160 inLost-$160.3914955.7%83 W · 66 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Dragon Ranger Gaming72c473.96$341 inWon+$132.7163955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed All Gamers29c412.48$120 inLost-$119.6218641.4%77 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Dragon Ranger Gaming71c412.48$293 inWon+$119.6220160.2%121 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd94a…fe08backed Dragon Ranger Gaming71c352.11$250 inWon+$102.11988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick53cpaid+84.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming74c296$218 inWon+$78.243253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed All Gamers30c232.58$70 inLost-$69.7739042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed All Gamers30c187.37$56 inLost-$56.218734.5%30 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed All Gamers33c181.82$60 inLost-$6036145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming67c138.72$93 inWon+$45.6455152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed All Gamers30c120$36 inLost-$3628241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked All Gamers30c100$30 inLost-$3025843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming68c100$68 inWon+$32.519751.8%102 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x888d…c45dbacked All Gamers30c100$30 inLost-$308744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming70c65.1$46 inWon+$19.5324551%125 W · 120 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked All Gamers35c56.72$20 inLost-$2020347.3%96 W · 107 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed Dragon Ranger Gaming67c50$34 inWon+$16.54040%16 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4e33…45f6backed Dragon Ranger Gaming73c34.85$25 inWon+$9.415554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming71c25.86$18 inWon+$7.58334.9%29 W · 54 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Dragon Ranger Gaming71c25$18 inWon+$7.2579650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.