TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Ground Zero Gamingof Deep Cross Gaming, Ground Zero Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,073 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6918…782bbacked Deep Cross Gaming45c19,243$8,719 inLost-$8,719.481,49054.6%813 W · 677 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Deep Cross Gaming51c4,358$2,222 inLost-$2,222.3517348%83 W · 90 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Ground Zero Gaming46c4,082$1,887 inWon+$2,195.233342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Deep Cross Gaming50c3,998$1,984 inLost-$1,984.4164243%276 W · 366 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed Ground Zero Gaming61c2,711$1,654 inWon+$1,057.292462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x095d…c2febacked Ground Zero Gaming48c2,653$1,273 inWon+$1,379.87333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Ground Zero Gaming49c2,629$1,284 inWon+$1,345.1616645.8%76 W · 90 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Deep Cross Gaming52c2,438$1,257 inLost-$1,256.751,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked Ground Zero Gaming49c2,041$1,000 inWon+$1,040.825825.9%15 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Ground Zero Gaming49c2,036$998 inWon+$1,038.5235443.2%153 W · 201 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Ground Zero Gaming48c1,701$820 inWon+$880.9922142.5%94 W · 127 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e4d…b4cabacked Ground Zero Gaming51c1,365$695 inWon+$670.161540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Ground Zero Gaming55c1,339$737 inWon+$601.6713041.5%54 W · 76 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Ground Zero Gaming53c1,251$658 inWon+$593.2834151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Ground Zero Gaming50c1,105$549 inWon+$555.8220748.8%101 W · 106 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab3e…de25backed Ground Zero Gaming50c1,015$507 inWon+$507.251573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.28per pick46cpaid+57%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xdccf…faeabacked Ground Zero Gaming48c1,005$482 inWon+$522.764452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef88…d62cbacked Ground Zero Gaming60c1,000$600 inWon+$4002055%11 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Ground Zero Gaming55c950$521 inWon+$429.3129738.7%115 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Ground Zero Gaming58c939.1$545 inWon+$394.517943.6%78 W · 101 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Ground Zero Gaming61c884$539 inWon+$344.7613933.8%47 W · 92 L-14.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Deep Cross Gaming49c803.4$393 inLost-$393.416654.2%90 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Ground Zero Gaming53c801.41$422 inWon+$379.7134941.8%146 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Ground Zero Gaming57c792.86$454 inWon+$338.8611428.9%33 W · 81 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7290…bdf6backed Ground Zero Gaming48c766$365 inWon+$400.79633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Deep Cross Gaming51c610$308 inLost-$308.188950.5%449 W · 440 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3f…0aa4backed Ground Zero Gaming60c600$360 inWon+$2402365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Ground Zero Gaming60c583.38$350 inWon+$233.8569741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Ground Zero Gaming55c578.18$318 inWon+$260.1859148.2%285 W · 306 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Ground Zero Gaming61c575$351 inWon+$224.258549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Deep Cross Gaming50c510$255 inLost-$2551,79251.1%916 W · 876 L+50.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Deep Cross Gaming49c508$247 inLost-$247.272,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Ground Zero Gaming60c500$300 inWon+$20010539%41 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Ground Zero Gaming60c500$300 inWon+$2004252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked Ground Zero Gaming60c500$300 inWon+$2004665.2%30 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfb11…7901backed Ground Zero Gaming60c500$300 inWon+$2002737%10 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50f4…04d4backed Ground Zero Gaming59c500$295 inWon+$2051346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Ground Zero Gaming60c500$300 inWon+$2007142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Ground Zero Gaming51c451.96$230 inWon+$221.462934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Ground Zero Gaming57c406.87$232 inWon+$174.951,38145.1%623 W · 758 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Ground Zero Gaming50c379.57$188 inWon+$191.0814850.7%75 W · 73 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked Ground Zero Gaming48c332.79$160 inWon+$173.052347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Ground Zero Gaming46c310$142 inWon+$168.43850%19 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Ground Zero Gaming53c299.99$160 inWon+$14060243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Ground Zero Gaming60c291.2$175 inWon+$115.9197254.3%528 W · 444 L+46.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Ground Zero Gaming58c289.41$169 inWon+$120.452,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Ground Zero Gaming47c286$134 inWon+$151.589938.4%38 W · 61 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Ground Zero Gaming54c276.61$148 inWon+$128.571,02345.1%461 W · 562 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Ground Zero Gaming47c258$122 inWon+$135.563221.9%7 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-51.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Ground Zero Gaming50c240$120 inWon+$12035642.4%151 W · 205 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Deep Cross Gaming48c210.73$101 inLost-$101.1533039.7%131 W · 199 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Ground Zero Gaming45c205.65$93 inWon+$113.118835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Deep Cross Gaming47c199.28$93 inLost-$92.9746148.8%225 W · 236 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Ground Zero Gaming48c159.13$76 inWon+$82.7524235.5%86 W · 156 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3d…9488backed Ground Zero Gaming52c150.46$78 inWon+$72.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+66.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Ground Zero Gaming48c145.83$70 inWon+$75.8316150.9%82 W · 79 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Ground Zero Gaming61c114.03$70 inWon+$44.4744544.9%200 W · 245 L-14.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Deep Cross Gaming48c102$49 inLost-$48.9635848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked Ground Zero Gaming61c100$61 inWon+$393452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked Ground Zero Gaming61c100$61 inWon+$394647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5819…2b4fbacked Ground Zero Gaming46c82.64$38 inWon+$44.2449850.2%250 W · 248 L+31.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Deep Cross Gaming50c81.42$41 inLost-$40.711,48250%741 W · 741 L+65.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Deep Cross Gaming44c80$35 inLost-$35.210933%36 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Ground Zero Gaming48c72.92$35 inWon+$37.9214262.7%89 W · 53 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a9…e7d8backed Ground Zero Gaming48c62.52$30 inWon+$32.571952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Deep Cross Gaming34c61$21 inLost-$20.7440337.7%152 W · 251 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed Deep Cross Gaming53c40$21 inLost-$21.27463.5%47 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfae1…fdc1backed Ground Zero Gaming48c32$15 inWon+$16.741752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a29…8cc4backed Ground Zero Gaming47c22.81$11 inWon+$12.0940450.5%204 W · 200 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Ground Zero Gaming56c19.52$11 inWon+$8.593246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.