CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4460e183b79cb7f513553a6f0c921afccba2bf0270924367564ef61770cf027
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patins da Ferrariof Patins da Ferrari, METANOIA WOLVES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Patins da Ferrari | 58c | 3,086$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.36 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed METANOIA WOLVES | 56c | 1,200$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…d62cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 41c | 942.04$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Patins da Ferrari | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 42c | 599.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed METANOIA WOLVES | 41c | 513.5$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Patins da Ferrari | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 41c | 353.56$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 38c | 285.88$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed METANOIA WOLVES | 38c | 223.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed METANOIA WOLVES | 39c | 197.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed METANOIA WOLVES | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed METANOIA WOLVES | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Patins da Ferrari | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 41c | 38.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed METANOIA WOLVES | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StagePatins da Ferrari won
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Patins da Ferrari - Map 2 WinnerPatins da Ferrari won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.