CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Patins da Ferrari - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92666ce4d55ad5d31a5dfc5e1b6c75f3e260a8b4d6541411a07a0d9593ea2734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patins da Ferrariof METANOIA WOLVES, Patins da Ferrari
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 26c | 511.2$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 480.94$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.93 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 467.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Patins da Ferrari | 78c | 460$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Patins da Ferrari | 76c | 457.95$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.97 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Patins da Ferrari | 71c | 352.09$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.37 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Patins da Ferrari | 76c | 296.87$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed METANOIA WOLVES | 14c | 291.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 281$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Patins da Ferrari | 71c | 277.12$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Patins da Ferrari | 75c | 266.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Patins da Ferrari | 73c | 212.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Patins da Ferrari | 77c | 175.7$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 31c | 142.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…4982backed METANOIA WOLVES | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed METANOIA WOLVES | 31c | 105.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 103.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Patins da Ferrari | 74c | 90.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…a065backed METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 86.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Patins da Ferrari | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Patins da Ferrari | 78c | 45.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Patins da Ferrari | 75c | 42.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Patins da Ferrari | 68c | 29.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Patins da Ferrari | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Patins da Ferrari - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StagePatins da Ferrari won
- Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)Patins da Ferrari won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.