Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x137c1a8ca3312ca03be801e7dbc54b9f976fa6956343678a60286e88371649bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakult Brothersof Vici Gaming, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x633e…d305backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 1,405$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.77 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c15…036fbacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 1,219$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 567.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.79 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Vici Gaming | 53c | 549.62$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.83 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 449.89$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.89 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Yakult Brothers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 362.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.55 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 346.11$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.75 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 331.82$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.82 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 330.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.35 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 304.65$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.65 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Yakult Brothers | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Yakult Brothers | 49c | 256$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.9 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Yakult Brothers | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Yakult Brothers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Yakult Brothers | 48c | 220$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Vici Gaming | 59c | 219.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yakult Brothers | 48c | 208.57$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 200.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 200$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.95 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 198.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Yakult Brothers | 52c | 192.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 182.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…91febacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 175.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 130.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 115.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Yakult Brothers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Yakult Brothers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Yakult Brothers | 59c | 96.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Yakult Brothers | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 84.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Yakult Brothers | 48c | 84.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Yakult Brothers | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 67.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 62.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Yakult Brothers | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…443bbacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 45.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 30.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 23.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Vici Gaming | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsYakult Brothers won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerYakult Brothers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.