Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e57e7d90e7e1282f19d898a4f5421e424fa36980953dca89be18c210437f645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $451,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $570,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $451,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 85,327$61,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,689.52 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Yakult Brothers | 22c | 50,000$10,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,996.31 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Yakult Brothers | 24c | 30,091$7,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,160.62 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Yakult Brothers | 20c | 16,330$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.99 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Yakult Brothers | 17c | 15,750$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.29 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 13,561$10,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.32 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Yakult Brothers | 22c | 13,557$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,046.45 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Yakult Brothers | 26c | 13,500$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.11 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Yakult Brothers | 27c | 8,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Yakult Brothers | 32c | 7,500$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.82 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yakult Brothers | 27c | 6,911$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 6,636$4,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.7 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 6,614$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.55 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vici Gaming | 80c | 6,410$5,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.57 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 6,033$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.61 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Yakult Brothers | 24c | 5,725$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.98 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vici Gaming | 78c | 5,553$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.41 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yakult Brothers | 26c | 5,148$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.45 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 4,424$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.11 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Yakult Brothers | 27c | 4,188$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.17 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 4,000$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 3,683$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.29 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Yakult Brothers | 16c | 3,638$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 3,614$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.8 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 3,191$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.39 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 3,169$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.86 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Yakult Brothers | 25c | 2,800$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.31 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Yakult Brothers | 17c | 2,713$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.07 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 2,686$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Yakult Brothers | 20c | 2,499$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 2,450$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7993…cf5abacked Vici Gaming | 78c | 2,436$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.95 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Yakult Brothers | 23c | 2,309$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.64 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 2,244$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.8wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Vici Gaming | 77c | 2,139$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.16 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 2,113$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.68 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Yakult Brothers | 27c | 2,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 2,078$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.56 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Yakult Brothers | 27c | 1,902$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Vici Gaming | 79c | 1,858$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.82 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Yakult Brothers | 28c | 1,752$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.72 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 1,618$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.62 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yakult Brothers | 14c | 1,591$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.67 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 1,551$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.85 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yakult Brothers | 20c | 1,520$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.22 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Vici Gaming | 72c | 1,496$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.59 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 1,495$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.67 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vici Gaming | 71c | 1,476$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.97 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Vici Gaming | 67c | 1,437$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.16 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 1,433$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.9 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Yakult Brothers | 27c | 1,410$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.69 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Yakult Brothers | 22c | 1,400$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…b937backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 1,327$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.02 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 1,258$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.55 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 1,238$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.67 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Yakult Brothers | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.9 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Yakult Brothers | 14c | 1,100$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Yakult Brothers | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 999.99$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…4d3dbacked Yakult Brothers | 22c | 991.63$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.5 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 981.91$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vici Gaming | 79c | 892.48$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.66 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 877.05$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.36 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Yakult Brothers | 28c | 857.32$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.07 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Yakult Brothers | 20c | 838.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.79 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 829.88$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.56 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Yakult Brothers | 27c | 800$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Yakult Brothers | 25c | 792.18$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.05 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 771.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Yakult Brothers | 21c | 760$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.2 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Vici Gaming | 72c | 689.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 689.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.55 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 679.42$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.39 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 679.21$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.89 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Vici Gaming | 79c | 640$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 527.98$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 524.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.13 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 502.47$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.7 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ed…b819backed Vici Gaming | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Yakult Brothers | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Yakult Brothers | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Vici Gaming | 80c | 491.38$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Yakult Brothers | 23c | 430.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Yakult Brothers | 28c | 424$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Vici Gaming | 78c | 415.06$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.58 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 394.67$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.45 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Vici Gaming | 80c | 389.67$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vici Gaming | 74c | 370.05$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 369.88$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 364.65$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…20acbacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 328.94$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 318.17$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 313.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…edadbacked Yakult Brothers | 32c | 313.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 303.03$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsYakult Brothers won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerYakult Brothers won
- Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)Yakult Brothers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.