College Football · resolved market
Colorado vs. TCU
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aaf5f5971a69963bd59251bad3e63e785285d5714a14eca3b642cfc946ff8a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCUof Colorado, TCU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Colorado | 26c | 69,912$18,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,470.3 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed TCU | 73c | 29,340$21,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,857.76 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked TCU | 70c | 7,802$5,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.89 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Colorado | 17c | 6,800$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.98 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked TCU | 70c | 5,331$3,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed TCU | 77c | 4,877$3,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.58 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed TCU | 73c | 4,258$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.35 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed TCU | 71c | 3,588$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.14 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Colorado | 20c | 3,500$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.94 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Colorado | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed TCU | 69c | 2,548$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.73 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Colorado | 17c | 1,946$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.34 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Colorado | 64c | 1,780$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed TCU | 70c | 1,518$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.11 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TCU | 56c | 1,364$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.36 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Colorado | 23c | 1,347$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.77 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…a9c3backed TCU | 48c | 1,173$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed TCU | 74c | 1,106$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.8 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked TCU | 70c | 1,047$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.1 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Colorado | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Colorado | 18c | 890$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Colorado | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Colorado | 26c | 606.08$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.58 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado | 18c | 479$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Colorado | 13c | 450$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Colorado | 28c | 448.73$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Colorado | 25c | 399.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked TCU | 56c | 366$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.11 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x157e…c040backed TCU | 79c | 340.9$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…d06dbacked TCU | 77c | 311.96$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Colorado | 30c | 284$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Colorado | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Colorado | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Colorado | 8c | 191$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e3…b3a4backed TCU | 50c | 180.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Colorado | 19c | 159.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…1139backed Colorado | 46c | 156.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Colorado | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cd…7538backed Colorado | 27c | 147.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Colorado | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Colorado | 48c | 115.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Colorado | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186f…8c40backed Colorado | 26c | 100.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Colorado | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Colorado | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Colorado | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…5773backed Colorado | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Colorado | 28c | 89.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…dfaebacked Colorado | 30c | 85.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Colorado | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Colorado | 16c | 71.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Colorado | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Colorado | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed TCU | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1803…772ebacked Colorado | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…b015backed Colorado | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…1311backed Colorado | 27c | 37.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked TCU | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…6bb0backed TCU | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…5c7bbacked TCU | 73c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado vs. TCUthis page
- O/U 58.5Under won
- Spread: TCU (-13.5)TCU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.