IPO · resolved market
Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2369d910a6c549b8f140d254d62d436ef246af1d87858ebf51872c7ebdd8f0f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 57c | 6,577$3,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.99 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…f7cebacked No | 4c | 4,081$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 21c | 1,214$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…5007backed No | 2c | 1,158$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…0360backed No | 9c | 441.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 78c | 360$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.55 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4037…fa24backed No | 13c | 321.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 24c | 308.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 77c | 307.96$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.3 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked No | 73c | 299.32$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 80c | 275.1$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.47 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed No | 7c | 270.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbff…e8e7backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 14c | 194.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 79c | 193.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.83 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked No | 79c | 188.55$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 12c | 180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 36c | 175.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 139 | 32.4%45 W · 94 L | -16.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 19c | 113.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…312bbacked No | 18c | 109.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 12c | 98.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…fa8fbacked Yes | 15c | 89.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23c…e07fbacked No | 19c | 87.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 83.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 127 | 4.7%6 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…485bbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…439fbacked Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 25c | 64.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed Yes | 27c | 51.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +228%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d99…02c7backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…80cbbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…a68cbacked Yes | 48c | 39.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +5.7wins | +0.52per pick | 39cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?this page
- Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $125M and $140M at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $140M and $155M at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $155M and $170M at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be greater than $170M at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be less than $125M at market close on IPO day?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.