Tennis · resolved market
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Laura Siegemund
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c9b573b1b99c36b49e0b62544353cbf5666b9174827763aa228d8b6b7485884
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iga Swiatekof Iga Swiatek, Laura Siegemund
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Laura Siegemund | 3c | 30,702$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.04 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Laura Siegemund | 4c | 20,177$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.43 | 1,564 | 24%376 W · 1,188 L | -43.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Laura Siegemund | 4c | 20,168$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.04 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Laura Siegemund | 3c | 7,021$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.44 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Laura Siegemund | 6c | 5,333$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.88 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Laura Siegemund | 5c | 5,167$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.14 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Laura Siegemund | 4c | 5,044$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.24 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Laura Siegemund | 7c | 5,002$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.87 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Laura Siegemund | 3c | 5,000$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Laura Siegemund | 2c | 4,675$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Laura Siegemund | 4c | 4,508$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.76 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Laura Siegemund | 3c | 3,406$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed Laura Siegemund | 5c | 3,138$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.94 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Laura Siegemund | 3c | 3,129$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Laura Siegemund | 4c | 2,867$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Laura Siegemund | 3c | 2,649$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Laura Siegemund | 4c | 2,519$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 5,041 | 41.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L | -83.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ba…41e6backed Laura Siegemund | 4c | 2,416$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Laura Siegemund | 3c | 1,948$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Laura Siegemund | 5c | 1,913$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Laura Siegemund | 4c | 1,803$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 490 | 35.7%175 W · 315 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Laura Siegemund | 5c | 1,765$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 3,891 | 35%1,362 W · 2,529 L | +93.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Laura Siegemund | 4c | 1,483$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aef…6c9dbacked Laura Siegemund | 4c | 1,389$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Laura Siegemund | 4c | 1,272$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 258 | 28.3%73 W · 185 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Laura Siegemund | 10c | 1,217$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a349backed Laura Siegemund | 10c | 1,144$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Laura Siegemund | 4c | 1,134$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Laura Siegemund | 4c | 1,050$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…0606backed Laura Siegemund | 2c | 999.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Laura Siegemund | 4c | 880.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Laura Siegemund | 7c | 682.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Laura Siegemund | 5c | 682.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Laura Siegemund | 4c | 646$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 7,774 | 47.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L | +40.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Laura Siegemund | 3c | 641.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Laura Siegemund | 5c | 610.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +496.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Laura Siegemund | 7c | 589.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 4,784 | 49.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L | +177.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Laura Siegemund | 4c | 483.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 513 | 42.9%220 W · 293 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Laura Siegemund | 4c | 462.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Laura Siegemund | 4c | 456.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Laura Siegemund | 6c | 405.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Laura Siegemund | 3c | 363.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…6834backed Laura Siegemund | 6c | 313.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Laura Siegemund | 6c | 309.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Laura Siegemund | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 871 | 35.4%308 W · 563 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Laura Siegemund | 4c | 289.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Laura Siegemund | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Laura Siegemund | 9c | 189.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…9d34backed Laura Siegemund | 8c | 177.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Laura Siegemundthis page
- Iga Swiatek vs. Laura Siegemund: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Swiatek vs SiegemundSwiatek won
- Swiatek vs. Siegemund: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.