Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10cbc272a36c8985d46640eaedb6a58c32cd54479bf4fc87e8d45f07774077dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 1,157$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 518.73$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.69 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 506.07$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 373.36$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.97 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Yes | 10c | 340.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 18c | 319.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 19c | 272.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 214.02$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 75c | 190.08$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 11c | 174.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 172.24$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 25c | 160$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 24c | 140.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 24c | 115.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 25c | 110.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 74c | 107.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 25c | 100.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 24c | 83.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 22c | 63.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 25c | 52.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 25c | 50.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 50.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Yes | 24c | 50.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 75c | 49.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 27c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 74c | 43.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 40.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed No | 79c | 37.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 75c | 37.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 75c | 37.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 75c | 37.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 71c | 22.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 74c | 18.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 72c | 17.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 75c | 17.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 80c | 17.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-05?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.