Asian League · resolved market
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x747211b11adb14e16471c8c62c23291c3bae76c3c903d1a710706ff49776dabc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 36c | 780.11$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.15 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 65c | 554.1$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.72 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.85 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 54c | 427.89$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.13 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 54c | 413.82$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.63 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 413.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked No | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 17c | 170.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 158.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 29c | 140.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 37c | 138.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Yes | 52c | 98.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc105…c1b0backed No | 72c | 95.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 89.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 28c | 66.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 63c | 58.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 57c | 57.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 54c | 51.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 43.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8801…f667backed Yes | 73c | 37.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 44c | 30.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 51c | 25.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 56c | 24.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 23.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 17.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…e95fbacked Yes | 65c | 16.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-05?No won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.