TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc07…7cb3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Tweets at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT5320.8%11 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.29
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.62
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$403
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+383.1%+$466.3
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$211
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.71
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.23
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$625.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$453.35
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$616.32
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$660.09
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$21.59
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.7
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$238.96
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+284.6%+$113.85
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+45.1%+$45.93
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$280.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+91.5%+$64.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$517.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$31.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.