South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-07-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38306822acff9cc7d6e76399ef1c5cfb36ed23238a4d6a641ee7edfc928a5584
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x490e…42f1backed Yes | 1c | 7,314$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 79c | 5,000$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.14 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 4,574$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.7 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes | 2c | 2,717$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 21c | 1,723$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.84 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 1,563$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.96 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 820.84$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 19c | 617.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.08 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 588.66$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…017ebacked Yes | 22c | 452.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 80c | 442.94$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 386.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 13c | 263.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…8892backed Yes | 4c | 252.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…b180backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 12c | 219.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 12c | 217.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 13c | 209.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 20c | 199.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 21c | 188.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 9c | 176.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 11c | 168.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 122.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 16c | 116.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…1b08backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 14c | 110.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 20c | 100.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 79c | 95.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 68.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…25f8backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 21c | 56.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 78c | 51.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 20c | 50.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…fd8fbacked No | 80c | 42.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…8ad6backed No | 79c | 32.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…384ebacked No | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27fd…9187backed No | 80c | 12.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-07-21?this page
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-21?Yes won
- Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.