South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-02-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06f8dada4a9ccb2dec343fca47eed36954b7b8192e8431d2250cefc1e4dfdfe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 50c | 1,077$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.33 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 35c | 657.14$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.83 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 587.91$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.23 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 50c | 450.54$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.27 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 65c | 248.59$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 37c | 235.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 66c | 161.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 159.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 68c | 142.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…4d44backed Yes | 41c | 103.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14bb…43b1backed Yes | 35c | 101.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 34c | 101.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…0fb0backed Yes | 30c | 84.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +236.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 65.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb851…824fbacked Yes | 37c | 54.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 37c | 54.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Yes | 36c | 45.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 35.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 64c | 32.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9321…ee6bbacked Yes | 35c | 31.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Yes | 44c | 26.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed No | 64c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-02-19?this page
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-02-19?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.