Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd825aff228fa4b0697e48580e4eaff2461bd4886251895cc7df94fe88d1c3501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 1,784$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 1,463$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 70c | 1,327$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.64 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed No | 3c | 1,160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 46c | 718.6$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.73 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 6c | 687.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 667.64$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.65 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 39c | 548.65$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.68 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 39c | 509.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.62 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 71c | 363.74$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed Yes | 62c | 354.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 62c | 264.83$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 61c | 209.74$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.94 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 38c | 186.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.35 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 22c | 183.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 74c | 133.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 98.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 38c | 84.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 75c | 61.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 60.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 39c | 55.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…2e6abacked No | 61c | 35.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 61c | 32.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 61c | 29.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 61c | 29.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 61c | 29.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 61c | 29.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 61c | 29.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 61c | 29.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 61c | 29.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 61c | 29.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 61c | 29.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked No | 61c | 29.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 61c | 29.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 61c | 29.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…0fb0backed Yes | 69c | 28.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 60c | 26.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 61c | 24.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 61c | 24.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 61c | 24.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 61c | 24.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Telstar 1963 vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.