Euroleague · resolved market
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d027ca1203e35dc10bd49ca8613cb70d52f7a38db0f40e480950e565a2fa1c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liaoning Flying Leopardsof Liaoning Flying Leopards, Xinjiang Flying Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 25c | 6,973$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.04 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 76c | 2,147$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.54 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 21c | 1,227$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.24 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 26c | 1,151$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.17 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 23c | 1,100$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.99 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 77c | 957.85$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 78c | 885.33$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.53 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 15c | 866.05$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.87 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…c4d0backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 74c | 827.98$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 24c | 782.96$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.23 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 75c | 729.09$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.49 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…c071backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 74c | 718.35$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…69b4backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 76c | 651.93$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 77c | 528.55$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46c…8ce2backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 27c | 499.35$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 76c | 357.93$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 24c | 338.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 76c | 333$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 10c | 327.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 73c | 300.87$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 24c | 283.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 6c | 274.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 73c | 271.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 76c | 270.05$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 18c | 243.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 74c | 233.02$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 75c | 227.93$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 27c | 219.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 22c | 195.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…93a1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 21c | 194.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…2230backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 72c | 179.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 24c | 158.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 25c | 152.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 25c | 151.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 26c | 140.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 75c | 131.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…bf61backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 73c | 116.17$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd831…30c1backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 74c | 106.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 26c | 101.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 74c | 98.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 73c | 94.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb812…076ebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 32c | 90.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 72c | 82.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 74c | 80.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…d2c8backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 74c | 79.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 27c | 76.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…e467backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 75c | 65.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fa…4cf6backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 76c | 64.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 76c | 64.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 24c | 63.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 75c | 59.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…8700backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 28c | 53.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8d…105abacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 75c | 52.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 73c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 27c | 46.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 26c | 43.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 74c | 39.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 77c | 34.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 74c | 28.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…955bbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 73c | 26.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 75c | 26.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 79c | 26.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 77c | 25.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…da11backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 77c | 25.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 77c | 24.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 76c | 23.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 80c | 18.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c29…ed84backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 73c | 14.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…887ebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 74c | 14.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.