Euroleague · resolved market
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Tianjin Pioneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0623d85d9e233b1a68655f29e756ff98fc1834c520551db4b9102a6700f1c72f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liaoning Flying Leopardsof Liaoning Flying Leopards, Tianjin Pioneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Tianjin Pioneers | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Tianjin Pioneers | 32c | 899.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.3 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 60c | 788.4$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.88 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 67c | 547.06$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.06 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 62c | 387.65$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.94 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 68c | 313.24$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 9c | 276$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 62c | 165.67$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 37c | 135.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 63c | 124.91$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Tianjin Pioneers | 39c | 116.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 67c | 113.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tianjin Pioneers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tianjin Pioneers | 35c | 95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 38c | 84.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 33c | 82.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Tianjin Pioneers | 54c | 63.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…8c81backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7005…c63cbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 64c | 18.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.