Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2025-10-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x779019476d31943f22ea98464673bc018810c0088b0f3b22fd10604fd5cc3d90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 65c | 25,000$16,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,750 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 35c | 24,250$8,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,487.34 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 43c | 7,063$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 57c | 5,012$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.21 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked No | 23c | 2,600$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 1,956$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.66 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 1,412$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.8 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 4c | 1,224$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…fd7bbacked No | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 60c | 539.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 518.86$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.72 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 61c | 455.74$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.28 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 63c | 258.73$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…cc36backed Yes | 77c | 258.38$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 36c | 221.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 33c | 149.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b6…bc8abacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 39c | 111$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…e96ebacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…e67ebacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b4…b607backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x352a…ff24backed Yes | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 37c | 56.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed No | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…6344backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…24f4backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…81b6backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…5393backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 77c | 28.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14bd…ed9cbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…b1b3backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…72dfbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…2d56backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2025-10-31?this page
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2025-10-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.