Asian League · resolved market
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf9cff056c32ab0f54c311b95754ef5098f0db4a851d943478dddd931a2bb0a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,329 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 5,036$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.85 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 1,894$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.62 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 851.83$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 11c | 630.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 74c | 566.91$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.39 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 513.45$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.24 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 405.65$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Yes | 28c | 216$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 29c | 200.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 148.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 93.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 36c | 47.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 36c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Yes | 27c | 41.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…143abacked No | 69c | 27.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +95%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 71c | 16.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 74c | 16.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.