Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-11-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10ec4512365de18eeeb77f3890f90b7690bf1c3a89aed1cfe0d1878a01ab7aed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 66c | 4,640$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.51 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 33c | 3,410$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.21 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 34c | 1,497$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.97 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 1,165$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.09 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 994.94$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.72 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 76c | 869.01$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.84 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 31c | 833$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.81 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 745.7$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.46 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 64c | 598.6$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.86 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 597.63$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.58 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 37c | 596$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.48 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 497.53$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.03 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…c7a2backed Yes | 37c | 430.84$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 65c | 317.62$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ea…f888backed No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 70c | 282.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 63c | 259.8$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.54 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 62c | 177.76$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…f9fbbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 64c | 130.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 63c | 94.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 71c | 84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 68c | 84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 38c | 73.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e5…5209backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 39c | 50.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 37c | 42.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf409…8208backed Yes | 44c | 40.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…15edbacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 60c | 39.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100e…cc8fbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked No | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5e…82e7backed No | 61c | 17.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-11-26?this page
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-26?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.