Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdff66c3562c7a9ce67186b10fc588593200c48a6aa37e32cec2da04f0f4045d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 30,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.99 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 65c | 27,172$17,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,510.36 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 4,279$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.48 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 31c | 1,055$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 13c | 608.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 34c | 473$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.79 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 314.79$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 226.41$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 34c | 219.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 33c | 196.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 147$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 9c | 129.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 65c | 127.35$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 21c | 67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 66c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 34c | 47.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed No | 67c | 38.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 29.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 69c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed No | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed No | 65c | 25.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf409…8208backed No | 75c | 18.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 66c | 15.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-26?this page
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-11-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.