Premier League · resolved market
Everton vs. Newcastle: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e11a9b68ff424f556c223e28b8611fb03bfee6c1f10533ce7868863fca5f21b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 45c | 4,458$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.18 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 2,531$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.27 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 1,120$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.34 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 618.89$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.26 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 57c | 613.13$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.42 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 50c | 499.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.84 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 43c | 443.98$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.91 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…5592backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 55c | 274.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 196.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 44c | 190.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 59c | 136.53$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2532…5b32backed No | 63c | 105$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Yes | 56c | 89.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 44c | 61.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 66c | 60.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…2589backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…24fcbacked Yes | 58c | 36.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…d14ebacked Yes | 57c | 32.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6d…4e19backed Yes | 57c | 28.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 57c | 26.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…3d54backed No | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Yes | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton vs. Newcastle: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Everton vs. Newcastle: O/U 1.5Over won
- Everton vs. Newcastle: O/U 2.5Over won
- Everton vs. Newcastle: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Newcastle (-1.5)Newcastle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.