TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-03-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed No55c23,368$12,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,773.016453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes48c11,550$5,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,005.9610445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c6,919$4,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,330.653,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes45c5,921$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.181,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes49c5,555$2,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.862,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes44c5,555$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,110.88143.2%35 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No56c5,116$2,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,864.818752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No52c4,767$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.616251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes45c3,867$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.271,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd752…a1c5backed Yes44c3,182$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No21c2,629$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.451,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes27c2,500$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8151315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-61.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No57c2,170$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.658037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No54c2,000$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.8656547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yes19c1,236$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.481145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick22cpaid+155.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes38c1,100$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6827424.3%18 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes48c919.92$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9234547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes44c777$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.1215742%66 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked No52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes26c722$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.758630.2%26 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No31c660$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.649143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No22c604.53$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2914315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes34c524.86$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.8910728%30 W · 77 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb546…802cbacked Yes72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes68c414$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5453645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes49c411.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3317549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes46c400$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21831145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes42c333.76$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0724541.6%102 W · 143 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes38c328.95$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9524132%77 W · 164 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No32c311.61$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5148658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked No16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32120%0 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9911543.5%50 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed No57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes46c139.3$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7581732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4522…ef10backed Yes69c139.2$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.15785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+86.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6418840.4%76 W · 112 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes43c106$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4230054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes45c102.42$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1712157.9%70 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577639.5%30 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No52c98.42$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9530647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes31c97.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.583839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked No57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes38c87.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.218517.6%15 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No63c82.01$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7478248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes34c78.79$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7920436.3%74 W · 130 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0727142.8%116 W · 155 L+18.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No54c72.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8838646.9%181 W · 205 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked No35c71.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253050%15 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae6f…8a1bbacked Yes43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.77825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-54%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes48c66.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6718140.3%73 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes45c60.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3410943.1%47 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes48c59.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.743565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Yes44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.826435.9%23 W · 41 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No31c55.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2139558.7%232 W · 163 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f66…1f8cbacked Yes43c53.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.751361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Yes53c52.27$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.422552%13 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+50.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed No58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes32c50.17$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.068158%47 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.56462.5%40 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked No58c49.66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.741861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No32c48.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6316046.9%75 W · 85 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b15…d362backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes55c46.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2914934.9%52 W · 97 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No31c46.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.428541.2%35 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.474837.5%18 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Yes48c39.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.392839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked No64c39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.96825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes47c36.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3539857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes43c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9542046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x546e…ec0cbacked Yes53c33.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.691464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x206f…ee3dbacked No57c28.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2246…e958backed No43c26.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No57c26.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9953140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No52c25.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3976234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed No41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.37545.3%34 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c2b…d0d2backed Yes48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No53c24.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2127554.9%151 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes49c23.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.167265.3%47 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No55c23.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9856951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfabc…a31bbacked Yes52c22.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a1…f7afbacked No69c22.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a84…c4fcbacked Yes71c17.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1878…85e2backed Yes71c17.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.971361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.