CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0139095b5f847f4669089691228019c0e5b71e286f0a8e7b404c944e5ecba0e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUAZARof QUAZAR, CSDIILIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,209 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c59…3887backed CSDIILIT | 36c | 3,712$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed QUAZAR | 59c | 3,626$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.45 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed QUAZAR | 51c | 3,440$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.18 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked CSDIILIT | 37c | 2,561$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.7 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked QUAZAR | 63c | 1,878$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.37 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked QUAZAR | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed CSDIILIT | 46c | 757.37$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.82 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed QUAZAR | 37c | 542.77$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.07 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed CSDIILIT | 64c | 393.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed QUAZAR | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed QUAZAR | 57c | 295$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.85 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed QUAZAR | 42c | 284.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.74 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed CSDIILIT | 78c | 228.71$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.97 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed CSDIILIT | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed CSDIILIT | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…e6fbbacked QUAZAR | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…0edfbacked CSDIILIT | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed QUAZAR | 30c | 58.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed CSDIILIT | 22c | 55.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…f435backed QUAZAR | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed QUAZAR | 46c | 50.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed CSDIILIT | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed QUAZAR | 44c | 43.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed QUAZAR | 34c | 31.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed QUAZAR | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group CQUAZAR won
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winner CSDIILIT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.