CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29c531f1d8c7c6188b5dd93b8ef2da8c4a0a07cb12feb7d30489b0e490ca27bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSDIILITof QUAZAR, CSDIILIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,875 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed CSDIILIT | 26c | 3,455$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.94 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked QUAZAR | 63c | 3,080$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.23 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked CSDIILIT | 38c | 2,424$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.82 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked CSDIILIT | 76c | 1,071$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.41 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed CSDIILIT | 34c | 975$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.5 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed QUAZAR | 54c | 602.22$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.2 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed CSDIILIT | 36c | 551.94$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.84 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483f…3683backed QUAZAR | 63c | 320$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed QUAZAR | 23c | 264.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed QUAZAR | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed QUAZAR | 76c | 72.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed CSDIILIT | 34c | 56.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed QUAZAR | 67c | 28.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed QUAZAR | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group CQUAZAR won
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 WinnerQUAZAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.