CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ee3e464efa66a1b337e98862daa0779fbdbddfa148e4028cb17b19ee0370ff2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omegaof ASTRAL, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,608 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Omega | 59c | 3,062$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.49 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed ASTRAL | 41c | 2,437$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ASTRAL | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Omega | 59c | 801$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.65 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked ASTRAL | 39c | 753.18$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.7 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Omega | 57c | 711.41$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.91 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 43c | 691.27$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.15 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Omega | 57c | 436$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.07 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL | 41c | 420$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.2 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Omega | 58c | 407$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.94 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Omega | 60c | 354.61$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.84 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Omega | 77c | 326.52$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 87 | 70.1%61 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Omega | 59c | 326.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.37 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ASTRAL | 23c | 321.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Omega | 59c | 300.7$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.68 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Omega | 68c | 216.83$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed ASTRAL | 34c | 202.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Omega | 69c | 200.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Omega | 66c | 185$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ASTRAL | 10c | 177.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed ASTRAL | 40c | 159.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked ASTRAL | 17c | 157.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Omega | 64c | 153.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ASTRAL | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 32c | 145.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Omega | 67c | 136.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Omega | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 89 | 74.2%66 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Omega | 60c | 121$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Omega | 60c | 121$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Omega | 67c | 103.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Omega | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Omega | 54c | 96.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ASTRAL | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ASTRAL | 28c | 74.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Omega | 60c | 66.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed ASTRAL | 19c | 62.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked ASTRAL | 21c | 60.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…928ebacked Omega | 79c | 60.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed ASTRAL | 27c | 58.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked ASTRAL | 46c | 53.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed ASTRAL | 46c | 52.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Omega | 63c | 51.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Omega | 54c | 50.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…0edfbacked Omega | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed ASTRAL | 38c | 46.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed ASTRAL | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Omega | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed ASTRAL | 37c | 43.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad3c…41d6backed ASTRAL | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6068…1dacbacked ASTRAL | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ASTRAL | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked Omega | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Omega | 57c | 38.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Omega | 61c | 34.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked ASTRAL | 39c | 34.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Omega | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Omega | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked ASTRAL | 36c | 28.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Omega | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Omega | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Omega | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Omega - Map 1 WinnerOmega won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Omega - Map 2 WinnerOmega won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.