CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21df3b019b85f5e7ac3cdb4815427e36ac04f43eb864bcd91a69a9c5aa238218
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof Passion UA, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,153 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Passion UA | 0c | 4,350$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FOKUS | 52c | 1,249$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.73 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…0ca7backed Passion UA | 49c | 1,079$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.74 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FOKUS | 61c | 1,031$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.84 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Passion UA | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed FOKUS | 69c | 857.23$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.11 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed FOKUS | 70c | 748.16$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.82 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed Passion UA | 28c | 614.64$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.37 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Passion UA | 41c | 609.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Passion UA | 37c | 474.92$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed FOKUS | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…d8aebacked Passion UA | 66c | 199.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Passion UA | 13c | 183$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…da5cbacked FOKUS | 61c | 146.83$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…0edfbacked Passion UA | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked FOKUS | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked FOKUS | 50c | 121.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed FOKUS | 50c | 121.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed Passion UA | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Passion UA | 25c | 116.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Passion UA | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked FOKUS | 52c | 91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…6f9cbacked Passion UA | 52c | 78.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed FOKUS | 76c | 77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked FOKUS | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Passion UA | 40c | 61.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Passion UA | 27c | 60.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed FOKUS | 45c | 59.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Passion UA | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed FOKUS | 64c | 38.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Passion UA | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Passion UA | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PSSN.UA (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)FOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.