Other European Leagues · resolved market
SK Brann vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8a8470328634e8c68b893b8e98865ce8dd49247bf2fab8e7156953ce466b4e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 1,620$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.97 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 31c | 920$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.17 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 553.96$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.83 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 13c | 400$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 16c | 369.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 321.83$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 70c | 311.08$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Under | 77c | 306.93$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 295.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.73 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…201bbacked Under | 17c | 211.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +261.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 62c | 182.36$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 17c | 87.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 52c | 78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Over | 48c | 43.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 38c | 35.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 25.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 53c | 25.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 53c | 25.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 25.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 53c | 25.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 53c | 25.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 53c | 25.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 52c | 25.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Over | 70c | 19.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 64c | 18.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | +13.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…288ebacked Over | 66c | 17.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 1.5this page
- SK Brann vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SK Brann vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)Sandefjord Fotball won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.