CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs kONO.ECF (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22ca525dd7baca8a3f7a4e0043293f184bbcffb1294c940c920a80fc83d1903b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof ASTRAL, kONO.ECF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7531backed kONO.ECF | 65c | 1,910$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.5 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ASTRAL | 35c | 1,850$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.5 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked kONO.ECF | 45c | 1,495$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.55 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed ASTRAL | 44c | 824.67$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.41 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed kONO.ECF | 41c | 734.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed ASTRAL | 34c | 669$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.97 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed ASTRAL | 52c | 354.68$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.83 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed ASTRAL | 62c | 323$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.05 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed kONO.ECF | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed kONO.ECF | 52c | 300$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…360bbacked ASTRAL | 63c | 250.34$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed ASTRAL | 50c | 250$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.77 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked ASTRAL | 37c | 243.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked kONO.ECF | 63c | 243.24$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.24 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed ASTRAL | 53c | 239.35$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…d9d3backed ASTRAL | 51c | 207.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed kONO.ECF | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8695…9afabacked ASTRAL | 65c | 198.1$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked ASTRAL | 70c | 174$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed kONO.ECF | 36c | 149.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ASTRAL | 57c | 148$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked ASTRAL | 66c | 140$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked ASTRAL | 56c | 128$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed kONO.ECF | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed ASTRAL | 79c | 109.64$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed kONO.ECF | 32c | 98.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed kONO.ECF | 59c | 92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked kONO.ECF | 56c | 88.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked kONO.ECF | 44c | 82.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked kONO.ECF | 16c | 74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 61c | 71.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed kONO.ECF | 30c | 64.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed ASTRAL | 29c | 62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ASTRAL | 35c | 60.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…0fd6backed ASTRAL | 69c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ASTRAL | 41c | 57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL | 44c | 45.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked ASTRAL | 24c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ASTRAL | 34c | 39.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebe…3835backed ASTRAL | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -58%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked kONO.ECF | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed kONO.ECF | 44c | 30.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed kONO.ECF | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked kONO.ECF | 70c | 26.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed ASTRAL | 59c | 25.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed kONO.ECF | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs kONO.ECF (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs kONO.ECF - Map 1 WinnerASTRAL won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs kONO.ECF - Map 2 WinnerkONO.ECF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.