Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8073c6cccf506825a05c9e28ba1a5737cce99689931195675f11d052f5ffc007
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 64c | 10,791$6,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,906.24 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 7,235$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.26 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 2,547$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.73 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 2,203$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.36 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 929.23$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.44 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 32c | 780.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.64 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 479.33$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.88 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 37c | 330.15$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 34c | 291.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…7437backed Yes | 37c | 278.68$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 260.16$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.58 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 181.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 146.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 37c | 112$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 33c | 106$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed Yes | 37c | 101.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 35c | 100.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 33c | 91.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…1f8cbacked Yes | 43c | 58.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked Yes | 40c | 55.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Yes | 38c | 52.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 33c | 42.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…aebdbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Yes | 38c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…ec0cbacked Yes | 38c | 37.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Yes | 37c | 33.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…d0d2backed Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…a8bebacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…fbf2backed No | 67c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked No | 71c | 22.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 68c | 21.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 71c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SC Preußen Münster end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-03-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.