Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f154ac71b158548345b0f7691e322de58b8fea7e23f5d3d984304527fbc67b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 2,525$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.55 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 48c | 1,364$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.76 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 34c | 1,343$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.07 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,186$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.88 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 44c | 1,006$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.91 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 3c | 872.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 748.4$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.95 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 598.49$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.67 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 44c | 491.88$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.66 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 53c | 443.21$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.9 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 33c | 193.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Yes | 56c | 129$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…a8bebacked No | 25c | 119.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 54c | 119$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae12…cbd0backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 82.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 55c | 74.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 25c | 63.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…ea77backed Yes | 35c | 62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…aebdbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed No | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 45c | 34.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 31.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…4171backed No | 66c | 31.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…bdf0backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…2ecabacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SC Preußen Münster end in a draw?No won
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.