Cricket · resolved market
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Sweden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88a3188d50c8b12dc8d96206f3d3019fd2587d0ce9989ad68e6033701037c55b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indonesiaof Indonesia, Sweden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Indonesia | 54c | 1,906$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.56 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Indonesia | 63c | 1,189$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.55 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Sweden | 52c | 1,187$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.7 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -9.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Sweden | 49c | 974.53$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.33 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Sweden | 39c | 798.37$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.58 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1729…75e9backed Indonesia | 74c | 552.83$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indonesia | 46c | 496.62$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.56 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Sweden | 59c | 425.37$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.18 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sweden | 41c | 396.53$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.27 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Indonesia | 56c | 393.66$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sweden | 37c | 348.27$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.29 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Indonesia | 27c | 341.52$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.67 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…9112backed Sweden | 8c | 340$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Indonesia | 60c | 289.57$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Sweden | 58c | 280.42$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.93 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Indonesia | 39c | 249.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.07 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Indonesia | 46c | 246.69$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.26 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Sweden | 41c | 221.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Sweden | 46c | 185.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Indonesia | 39c | 179.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sweden | 76c | 178.49$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sweden | 16c | 173.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d41…e3ddbacked Sweden | 77c | 154.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Sweden | 26c | 149.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Sweden | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…4776backed Sweden | 30c | 132.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Indonesia | 30c | 115.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.78 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e5…080ebacked Indonesia | 25c | 112.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +292.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Sweden | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Sweden | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sweden | 22c | 84.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…8e06backed Sweden | 67c | 82.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…2b6abacked Sweden | 36c | 80.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Sweden | 25c | 79.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…95b6backed Sweden | 25c | 72.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…f2acbacked Indonesia | 73c | 66.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Sweden | 36c | 60.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Sweden | 80c | 57.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Indonesia | 24c | 52.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…6720backed Sweden | 67c | 47.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…8008backed Sweden | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Sweden | 38c | 45.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Indonesia | 23c | 45.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Sweden | 74c | 44.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Sweden | 70c | 43.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcafb…7e71backed Sweden | 80c | 34.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Sweden | 79c | 33.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Indonesia | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…54f6backed Sweden | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ea…019cbacked Sweden | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d1…5840backed Indonesia | 65c | 30.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Sweden | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Indonesia | 42c | 29.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Indonesia | 71c | 29.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…643fbacked Indonesia | 80c | 29.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed Sweden | 53c | 29.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54d…ca0fbacked Sweden | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Sweden | 78c | 25.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac3…38dbbacked Sweden | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…876bbacked Sweden | 70c | 21.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1563…cc1cbacked Sweden | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ce…e58ebacked Sweden | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Sweden | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…0da0backed Indonesia | 77c | 14.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.