Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27876ab4014def86272ca2bed8431f0f2b0fd0bfa0b348ee1e298be41ee9cf8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 75c | 397.81$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 381.6$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 75c | 320.63$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 297.86$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 25c | 257.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Yes | 27c | 185.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 171.42$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 142$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 128$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…d145backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 95.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 93.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Yes | 27c | 79.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 59.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 51.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 21c | 50.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 25.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 23.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-26?No won
- Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-02-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.