Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos: Toby Samuel vs Daniel Rincon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x973a8a5330c161a02d7027b4844e77ae112182ffba411f5edea94aa80221da24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toby Samuelof Toby Samuel, Daniel Rincon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Daniel Rincon | 12c | 12,590$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Toby Samuel | 76c | 2,060$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.1 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Daniel Rincon | 22c | 1,084$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.99 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniel Rincon | 16c | 1,075$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.66 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Daniel Rincon | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Daniel Rincon | 22c | 559.61$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.13 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Toby Samuel | 74c | 537.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Toby Samuel | 80c | 501.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Daniel Rincon | 14c | 500.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…802cbacked Toby Samuel | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Daniel Rincon | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Daniel Rincon | 22c | 450$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Toby Samuel | 69c | 448.44$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Toby Samuel | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Daniel Rincon | 11c | 418.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc4…b0b5backed Daniel Rincon | 30c | 395.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Toby Samuel | 77c | 329.23$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Daniel Rincon | 28c | 305.72$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Daniel Rincon | 9c | 292$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Daniel Rincon | 22c | 292$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toby Samuel | 77c | 257.36$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Daniel Rincon | 31c | 233.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Toby Samuel | 78c | 215.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniel Rincon | 31c | 149.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed Daniel Rincon | 33c | 146.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Toby Samuel | 69c | 145.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…c8f2backed Daniel Rincon | 30c | 139.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Daniel Rincon | 31c | 135$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Daniel Rincon | 14c | 113.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Daniel Rincon | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Toby Samuel | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Daniel Rincon | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Daniel Rincon | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Toby Samuel | 69c | 88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Daniel Rincon | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 185 | 41.1%76 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Daniel Rincon | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Daniel Rincon | 22c | 70.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Daniel Rincon | 22c | 65.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…ae69backed Toby Samuel | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Daniel Rincon | 22c | 59.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Daniel Rincon | 31c | 58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Daniel Rincon | 25c | 53.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Daniel Rincon | 27c | 48.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Toby Samuel | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Toby Samuel | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Toby Samuel | 79c | 37.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Toby Samuel | 69c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Toby Samuel | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2a…6a73backed Toby Samuel | 68c | 28.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6860…f9a6backed Toby Samuel | 76c | 23.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Toby Samuel | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Toby Samuel | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Toby Samuel | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hersonissos: Toby Samuel vs Daniel Rinconthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Samuel vs RinconSamuel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.