Euroleague · resolved market
Bilbao Basket vs. Saski Baskonia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b8639f3a0ca6d6db76fe38e8008fda3d5ccede572f22e30caa7504e50bce2be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saski Baskoniaof Bilbao Basket, Saski Baskonia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bilbao Basket | 3c | 2,396$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Bilbao Basket | 42c | 1,292$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.18 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Saski Baskonia | 58c | 1,221$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed Bilbao Basket | 46c | 544.96$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Bilbao Basket | 44c | 432.51$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Saski Baskonia | 50c | 342.16$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.16 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Saski Baskonia | 56c | 214.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Saski Baskonia | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bilbao Basket | 39c | 165.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bilbao Basket | 36c | 140.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Saski Baskonia | 59c | 139.73$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234d…a48dbacked Bilbao Basket | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bilbao Basket | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Saski Baskonia | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Saski Baskonia | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Saski Baskonia | 62c | 71.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saski Baskonia | 67c | 69.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bilbao Basket | 56c | 57.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Saski Baskonia | 47c | 53.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Saski Baskonia | 57c | 51.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Bilbao Basket | 32c | 47.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Saski Baskonia | 57c | 41.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Bilbao Basket | 53c | 41.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Bilbao Basket | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Bilbao Basket | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f4…189fbacked Saski Baskonia | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Saski Baskonia | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.