Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Metz vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7aceefac01f694c28e6e7a82155140112df32c7d4a148c81c97d38943b98463
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 53c | 32,905$17,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,465.46 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 6,410$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.33 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 4,954$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.44 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 4,400$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 46c | 2,878$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.62 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 48c | 2,153$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.12 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 53c | 2,036$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.69 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.17 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 47c | 1,182$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.54 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 999.96$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 48c | 713.63$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 54c | 702.44$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.1 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 47c | 373$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.31 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 31c | 323.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 47c | 270$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 47c | 225$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 47c | 219.81$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Over | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 46c | 179.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 47c | 116.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 47c | 81.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 48c | 69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 35c | 57.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 80c | 56.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Under | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 40.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 38.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…ce40backed Over | 48c | 34.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 47c | 32.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…b97dbacked Under | 53c | 30.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc77a…cb52backed Under | 53c | 29.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ba…45bdbacked Over | 49c | 28.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 61c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe5…4010backed Over | 48c | 25.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 61c | 16.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Metz vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Metz vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Metz vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Metz vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Metz vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)FC Metz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.