Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-11-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ce8b5ff2d85157443846f8d85f10f4cee928ded34203392dfa885d8509152aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 2,905$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.58 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 64c | 1,848$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.23 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 42c | 1,093$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 6c | 896.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 65c | 806$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.1 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 584.62$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.33 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 380.87$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.33 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 37c | 360.93$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.91 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes | 10c | 350$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 77c | 187.2$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 21c | 105.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…ed90backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 40c | 65.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 59.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked No | 66c | 45.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…6654backed No | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…6dd1backed Yes | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 42c | 44.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ca…cb25backed Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 69c | 22.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x301e…ab22backed No | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-11-07?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-11-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.