Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f36472d11b86063d01be852d3ed1666b4629b9a2bf52d68c482a39973a2f780
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 42c | 4,578$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.28 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 52c | 1,068$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.07 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…a7ccbacked Yes | 32c | 417.49$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +208.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 46c | 349.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 292.62$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d0…8dcdbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked Yes | 52c | 200.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 47c | 200.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 44c | 176.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 46c | 119.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -4.1wins | -0.51per pick | 63cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 34c | 87.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…9c77backed Yes | 47c | 84.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…c610backed Yes | 48c | 62.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…f2e8backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…dfeebacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…5bc3backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 42c | 28.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 46c | 27.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will SK Rapid Wien vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2025-10-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.