Middle East · resolved market
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c17f29dd6de0b7b089bb78934550e55563da936c1285cf3c4d7f523534f2514
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 5,188$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 2,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 1,750$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 6c | 1,527$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 64 | 9.4%6 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 1,384$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 2c | 1,325$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 3c | 1,282$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 9c | 1,159$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked No | 6c | 1,005$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 7c | 953.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed No | 68c | 900$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 5c | 899.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed No | 1c | 859.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 46c | 828.54$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.26 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 45c | 794.72$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.35 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 6c | 756.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked No | 9c | 726.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…ac09backed Yes | 74c | 701$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.32 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked No | 8c | 661.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 11c | 594$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 6c | 568.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 514.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed No | 36c | 484.91$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.67 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -8.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 7c | 430.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 9c | 404.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 11c | 403.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 21c | 375.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9846…ca9ebacked Yes | 42c | 366.5$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 8c | 360.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked No | 10c | 300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 58c | 293$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 52c | 253.37$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 9c | 201.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bc…5814backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked No | 10c | 194.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…b8b2backed No | 8c | 190.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…03e0backed Yes | 65c | 169.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf130…6215backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ca…708ebacked Yes | 34c | 145.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed No | 67c | 140$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 30c | 133.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 50c | 120.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…14d7backed No | 9c | 107.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | -12.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…661fbacked No | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…e000backed Yes | 39c | 86.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 67c | 84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 16c | 76.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 35c | 69.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 16c | 64.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 62c | 62.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 48c | 51.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…1766backed Yes | 40c | 50.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed Yes | 58c | 49.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…c380backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 164 | 33.5%55 W · 109 L | -19.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c50…22fdbacked No | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes | 35c | 38.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324f…15b1backed No | 44c | 34.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…720cbacked Yes | 65c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 66c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 66c | 27.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 139 | 18.7%26 W · 113 L | -13.9wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…2ed3backed Yes | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe423…2492backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 59c | 18.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 15.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?this page
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.