Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71b1d903fac77563c308343816d91f5b43660eaa7a6caacd7a3cf1d4274de800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed No | 0c | 10,198$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…6984backed No | 1c | 5,138$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked No | 2c | 4,989$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f15…4cd2backed No | 2c | 4,878$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…c6cebacked No | 2c | 4,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 255 | 4.3%11 W · 244 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed No | 1c | 3,714$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 67c | 2,546$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.17 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 1c | 2,239$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 73 | 13.7%10 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d0…1845backed No | 2c | 2,040$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed No | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…6450backed No | 4c | 1,100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 141 | 19.1%27 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 7c | 822.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…aa34backed No | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…25b2backed No | 2c | 633.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 10c | 593.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…20adbacked No | 2c | 444.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 4c | 433.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 30c | 328.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.78 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 5c | 287.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 40c | 238.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 219.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…3a35backed No | 14c | 216.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 43c | 203.61$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…65d5backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 193.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.54 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…9f18backed No | 57c | 172.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 7c | 167.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 26c | 165$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaa…875abacked No | 12c | 145.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 69c | 144.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 58c | 143.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 14c | 136.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 55c | 129.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 80c | 127.82$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 9c | 122$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 69c | 116.42$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 11c | 113$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 62c | 108.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…fe16backed Yes | 76c | 100.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 54c | 96.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…160bbacked No | 73c | 88.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 25c | 83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 48c | 82.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 21c | 62.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 40c | 57.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 61c | 57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 27c | 55.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 50c | 55.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…99d4backed No | 67c | 54.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…40cdbacked No | 45c | 52.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…dbfabacked No | 74c | 51.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 100 | 81%81 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 34c | 48.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 52c | 45.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598c…13b3backed Yes | 29c | 41.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 29cpaid | +154.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9eb…c7b3backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 75c | 39.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked No | 51c | 38.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a2…2c18backed No | 68c | 38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…5ae3backed Yes | 53c | 36.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 56c | 36.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 69c | 32.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x407e…5bf0backed No | 63c | 30.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…c2eabacked No | 56c | 28.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…3384backed No | 73c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 282 | 70.2%198 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 24.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…8cc8backed No | 51c | 24.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…f816backed No | 55c | 23.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 70c | 23.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked No | 60c | 22.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147e…eb1ebacked No | 55c | 22.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 68c | 22.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 52c | 20.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cf…5732backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 74c | 19.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…9b00backed No | 77c | 19.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 202 | 66.8%135 W · 67 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 67c | 19.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 74c | 18.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.