TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 7.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,500
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,500 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under31c2,213$686 inLost-$685.9334357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over69c717.79$495 inWon+$222.668,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d2…ab03backed Over69c580.92$400 inWon+$180.512070%14 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf4e…bd80backed Over69c580.22$400 inWon+$180.2214946.3%69 W · 80 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ed6…b0b3backed Over25c451.25$113 inWon+$338.444040%16 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa90b…5ca7backed Over61c326.91$200 inWon+$126.913253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbab6…50a2backed Under64c310$198 inLost-$198.32445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6436…da96backed Over69c289.86$200 inWon+$89.868542.4%36 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Over36c250$90 inWon+$16015942.1%67 W · 92 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec52…59e8backed Under40c250$100 inLost-$1006147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb980…73b0backed Over36c249.46$91 inWon+$158.413860.5%23 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+39.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under44c140.19$61 inLost-$61.193,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over56c95.63$54 inWon+$42.081,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27b6…e8babacked Over69c70.42$49 inWon+$21.835347.2%25 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under35c47.06$16 inLost-$16.4777845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under34c40.65$14 inLost-$13.8820553.7%110 W · 95 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a88…ded1backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon+$15.095152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a8…82e0backed Over59c33.9$20 inWon+$13.91957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Over68c29.41$20 inWon+$9.414553.3%24 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon+$8.9913242.4%56 W · 76 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fe3…f1c8backed Under50c21.91$11 inLost-$11.021553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked Over69c21.74$15 inWon+$6.7423062.6%144 W · 86 L-1.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.