TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 12.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,523 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over27c908$245 inLost-$245.1628526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under75c796.18$600 inWon+$196.1826455.3%146 W · 118 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over25c599.96$150 inLost-$149.9914433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under73c514.31$375 inWon+$139.464,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over30c373.33$112 inLost-$11234526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under70c357$250 inWon+$107.12,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebe…17b9backed Under73c299.99$220 inWon+$805356.6%30 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over27c200$54 inLost-$5426921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Under71c133.33$95 inWon+$38.679450%47 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Under76c130$99 inWon+$31.240145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over28c90.48$25 inLost-$2519742.1%83 W · 114 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16e7…3925backed Over26c87.99$23 inLost-$22.889838.8%38 W · 60 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under58c87.07$51 inWon+$36.5717255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under62c87.07$54 inWon+$33.0915459.7%92 W · 62 L+20.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under75c80$60 inWon+$202,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under72c79.29$57 inWon+$22.277845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over26c71.33$19 inLost-$18.543,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over17c60$10 inLost-$10.237959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08b1…cc42backed Over25c60$15 inLost-$151540%6 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+91.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under75c58.71$44 inWon+$14.938,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under73c47.53$35 inWon+$12.8385851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73ec…9659backed Under74c40.54$30 inWon+$10.542979.3%23 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x981f…b63fbacked Under76c35.2$27 inWon+$8.457343.8%32 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5859…a9b0backed Under74c32.43$24 inWon+$8.431866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.