TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,659
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,659 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under23c731.21$171 inLost-$171.13,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Under24c410.29$100 inLost-$1007656.6%43 W · 33 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xef33…6be3backed Over76c328.95$250 inWon+$78.959232.6%30 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd053…4647backed Over78c153.85$120 inWon+$33.855455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under18c152.05$27 inLost-$27.052,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0692…3e4dbacked Over77c129.87$100 inWon+$29.874452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under21c51.9$11 inLost-$10.92,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e7…bfacbacked Over77c40.25$31 inWon+$9.255046%23 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc9b…f2c6backed Over77c32.47$25 inWon+$7.477819.2%15 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over76c31.85$24 inWon+$7.598,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb706…b4e4backed Over79c31.65$25 inWon+$6.652646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f7…40c8backed Over79c25.32$20 inWon+$5.321717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-73.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x166d…42a4backed Over72c25$18 inWon+$74156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.