Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23ef6240da2ebc4f898a1efca1ceb3c94396aa7190bb8704ff7d0dfb614f4453
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 80c | 2,004$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.87 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 18c | 1,611$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.14 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Under | 20c | 981.44$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.29 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 682.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 22c | 490.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 28c | 475$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 60c | 327.35$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 17c | 241.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Under | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 23c | 120.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 74c | 114.03$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 28c | 111.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Over | 49c | 110.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7759…e577backed Over | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…79c7backed Over | 69c | 100.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9f…164dbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 80c | 84.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Under | 21c | 82.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 75c | 81.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 74c | 69.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 25c | 59.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Over | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…284bbacked Under | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…9461backed Over | 59c | 49.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 35c | 44.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4353…f784backed Under | 49c | 40.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x726d…b10dbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 60c | 26.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…dd25backed Under | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 80c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 9.5 CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Team to Take First CornerGermany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.