Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d66f826e637d1f08084644a7d467f28f86195eb623b6da06543f5884febdf60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa3c…3111backed Under | 54c | 6,645$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.77 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…68bcbacked Over | 46c | 5,184$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.59 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Under | 65c | 1,773$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.42 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Over | 36c | 1,667$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 64c | 1,298$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.19 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac2b…f419backed Under | 56c | 1,178$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.68 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 37c | 1,000$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.31 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 64c | 960.96$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.95 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 894.35$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.64 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 64c | 753.59$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.68 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over | 34c | 661.52$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.31 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Under | 67c | 505$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.57 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 504.01$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.22 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 48c | 497.9$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.56 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 36c | 490$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…3d13backed Over | 46c | 430.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Over | 13c | 429.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 55c | 418.53$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +20.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 35c | 411.57$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.05 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 64c | 393.96$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.83 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 65c | 313.54$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 65c | 313.03$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.95 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 23c | 288.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Under | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 18c | 243.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 72c | 230.05$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 61c | 218.7$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…0da2backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 38c | 215.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275e…3cf4backed Over | 34c | 215.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…0322backed Over | 49c | 197.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.41 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…99a5backed Over | 48c | 188.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Over | 44c | 187.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 134 | 43.3%58 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 10c | 185.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…2322backed Over | 36c | 183.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 77c | 173.37$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…08a6backed Over | 29c | 169.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 252 | 21.4%54 W · 198 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Over | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c1…caf8backed Over | 45c | 149.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…2217backed Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1926…7f27backed Under | 65c | 144.62$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 53c | 133$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 119 | 63%75 W · 44 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 47c | 123$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…4ef4backed Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 63c | 109.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3332…6806backed Over | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 62c | 102.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…ca25backed Over | 46c | 100.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…1d6fbacked Over | 40c | 99.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 26c | 99.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…3925backed Over | 35c | 99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…761cbacked Over | 32c | 93.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | +19.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…c4b2backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 44c | 86.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…562abacked Over | 24c | 81.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 39.4%80 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…a00bbacked Under | 62c | 81.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…51d2backed Over | 31c | 77.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Over | 54c | 74.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bed…7d92backed Over | 42c | 73.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 57c | 71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Over | 49c | 67.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c427backed Over | 36c | 66.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Over | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 70c | 60.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f33…7af9backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cc…379fbacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24e…4a23backed Under | 41c | 50.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…061cbacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…9b6abacked Over | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 31c | 46.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 45c | 46.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 64c | 45.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…b255backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b43…df40backed Over | 59c | 42.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Under | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 42c | 40.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Under | 71c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf04c…3c4fbacked Under | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 46c | 37.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Under | 55c | 36.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…5ca8backed Over | 34c | 35.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…e1febacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…f366backed Over | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Under | 66c | 30.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…c3cabacked Over | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…10fabacked Over | 42c | 28.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…c4debacked Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a0…f94bbacked Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 57c | 19.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…ae09backed Under | 58c | 18.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…337dbacked Under | 55c | 18.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ff…bbe2backed Under | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 9.5 CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Team to Take First CornerGermany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.