Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4a784efa82b401d0e9f67f41d8fddaa766b2e7bffa489dee7b49349f0ab12cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 54c | 5,243$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.69 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 1,518$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.42 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 1,492$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.7 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Over | 16c | 1,171$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.89 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Over | 47c | 1,150$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.49 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 1,092$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.23 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Over | 55c | 913.7$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 28c | 791.91$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.38 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 32c | 762.69$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.2 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 29c | 727.71$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.41 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 54c | 563.12$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.48 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Under | 21c | 433$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.88 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 38c | 424.79$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.79 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Over | 45c | 388.3$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 178 | 28.1%50 W · 128 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 70c | 285.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 30c | 268.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 255$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Under | 54c | 249.52$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.78 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Over | 26c | 214.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 50c | 212.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Under | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…34d5backed Under | 52c | 194$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 33c | 175.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 173.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.01 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 69c | 173.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60bf…ebb6backed Over | 34c | 164.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 53c | 150.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under | 72c | 138.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 45c | 133.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 45c | 133.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd05e…f1e9backed Under | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…2322backed Over | 51c | 130.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 117.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Under | 44c | 111$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 119 | 63%75 W · 44 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd432…c92abacked Over | 70c | 91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Over | 50c | 80.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 35c | 74.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 48c | 74.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Over | 67c | 71.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…c3b5backed Over | 59c | 67.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 46c | 64.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ac…9f41backed Over | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…51d2backed Over | 48c | 59.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 47c | 57.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x593c…dae0backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 44c | 56.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e12…fe60backed Over | 50c | 52.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4b…83e2backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac78…a7b7backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 47c | 32.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…f395backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002e…bd31backed Under | 70c | 19.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Cornersthis page
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 9.5 CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Team to Take First CornerGermany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.