TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under54c5,243$2,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,417.6951859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c1,518$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.422,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c1,492$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.786452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Over16c1,171$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8919247.9%92 W · 100 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over47c1,150$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.499846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under53c1,092$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.232,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Over55c913.7$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014637.7%55 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over28c791.91$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3858642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under32c762.69$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.22,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over29c727.71$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.412,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under54c563.12$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Under21c433$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.8824541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over38c424.79$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7985851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Over45c388.3$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7417828.1%50 W · 128 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under70c285.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7170948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over30c268.25$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.072,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under52c255$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.752,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb980…73b0backed Under54c249.52$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.783860.5%23 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+39.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked Over26c214.49$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7113061.5%80 W · 50 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+100.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over50c212.96$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5320337.9%77 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Under31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2327554.5%150 W · 125 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf410…34d5backed Under52c194$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.123946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over33c175.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.034,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under44c173.92$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.012,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under69c173.88$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.051,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60bf…ebb6backed Over34c164.97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.853834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under53c150.2$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5976551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under72c138.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6116655.4%92 W · 74 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Under45c133.39$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3823858%138 W · 100 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under45c133.39$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3843460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd05e…f1e9backed Under53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.082250%11 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ed6…2322backed Over51c130.63$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over25c117.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.622,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked Under44c111$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.663366.7%22 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.311963%75 W · 44 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4957252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd432…c92abacked Over70c91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over50c80.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4041339%161 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over35c74.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4121565.1%140 W · 75 L+16.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under48c74.63$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8177845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over67c71.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7310540%42 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ce…c3b5backed Over59c67.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.781369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over46c64.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.793,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ac…9f41backed Over53c64.15$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad90…51d2backed Over48c59.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5513341.4%55 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under47c57.7$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5833555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x593c…dae0backed Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under44c56.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.662,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e12…fe60backed Over50c52.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e4b…83e2backed Under52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.083759.5%22 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+48.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over47c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.822,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac78…a7b7backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012330.9%38 W · 85 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under47c32.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.862,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Under39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.37749.4%38 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Over46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.83647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.252,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4b…f395backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x002e…bd31backed Under70c19.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.713658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.