TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 3.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,405

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,340 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbab6…50a2backed Under65c2,913$1,896 inWon+$1,016.572445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Over32c1,772$561 inLost-$560.7915459.7%92 W · 62 L+20.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over41c898.94$372 inLost-$372.0285851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d4…2983backed Over36c694.59$250 inLost-$2508640.7%35 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under65c395$257 inWon+$138.2533555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under63c333.3$210 inWon+$122.926537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under70c299.19$209 inWon+$89.7651859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Over31c159.42$50 inLost-$49.999956.6%56 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Over32c154.36$49 inLost-$48.869359.1%55 W · 38 L+9.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e03…beaabacked Over35c113.31$40 inLost-$39.668943.8%39 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a0d…337dbacked Over32c77.33$24 inLost-$24.481560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over35c50$18 inLost-$17.532928%92 W · 237 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under58c42.62$25 inWon+$17.934357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaaaa…6783backed Over32c42.06$13 inLost-$13.311361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x272e…e55abacked Under65c30.92$20 inWon+$10.924358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.