TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,146 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under67c783.21$525 inLost-$524.7534357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over33c560.61$185 inWon+$375.617761%47 W · 30 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under63c227.86$145 inLost-$144.673,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a34…40b1backed Over43c225.5$98 inWon+$127.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under59c210.28$124 inLost-$124.062,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over41c196.58$80 inWon+$116.5824242.6%103 W · 139 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Under56c176.77$99 inLost-$98.994839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98c9…c1c1backed Over33c90.91$30 inWon+$60.914431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over32c77.14$25 inWon+$52.141,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x395c…4415backed Over39c51.61$20 inWon+$31.613132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d6…90aabacked Over39c50$20 inWon+$30.517038.2%65 W · 105 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under67c20$13 inLost-$13.440343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.