Fifa International · resolved market
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f995ca4894bc7732e98dd00ed6801240b526d5b3212f1e2e5015c6226d639be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198a…6762backed Over | 54c | 25,931$13,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,947.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 44c | 11,149$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,905.56 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 49c | 6,823$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.27 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 44c | 3,226$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.48 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 50c | 2,787$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.26 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Under | 8c | 962.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 48c | 945.81$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.99 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 54c | 920.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Under | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Over | 49c | 289.42$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Over | 52c | 288.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.39 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 55c | 286.93$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.12 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 44c | 249.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.95 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a7…4f5bbacked Under | 57c | 176.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 45c | 170.12$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 124.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Over | 52c | 122.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 119 | 63%75 W · 44 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 49c | 121.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Over | 47c | 101.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1926…7f27backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Over | 57c | 82.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 140 | 30%42 W · 98 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 31c | 75.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 49c | 54.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Under | 56c | 53.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Over | 45c | 37.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Under | 49c | 31.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…800dbacked Under | 55c | 29.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 44c | 26.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…c6bbbacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Team to Take First CornerSwitzerland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.