TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,299

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,925 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under35c502.66$176 inLost-$175.9334357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdac5…2ccabacked Over65c268.92$175 inWon+$94.193339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c242.36$165 inWon+$77.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Under22c224.91$49 inLost-$49.484839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon+$28.216173.8%45 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Over65c100.41$65 inWon+$35.4118040%72 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under35c99.98$35 inLost-$34.9940343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa088…dcbfbacked Over65c76.92$50 inWon+$26.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11cd…e5a8backed Over78c64.29$50 inWon+$14.2914030%42 W · 98 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x498d…c0f5backed Over65c46.23$30 inWon+$16.23944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under37c41$15 inLost-$15.1776551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x726d…b10dbacked Over64c31.25$20 inWon+$11.259749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Over62c26.32$16 inWon+$1012871.9%92 W · 36 L+14.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over64c22.08$14 inWon+$8.033,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.